Mexico and the World
Vol. 1, No 4 (Fall 1996)
http://www.profmex.org/mexicoandtheworld/volume1/4fall96/tables.html
Mexico, NAFTA, and Free Trade in the Americas
By: James W. Wilkie and Olga M. Lazin
Tables
| Table A1 |
|
| Mexico Participation in or Plans for Free Trade Area Agreements |
| (January 1995; Agreements in effect are shown in boldface) |
|
| Name |
Members |
Date Proposed |
Date Effective |
| NAFTA |
Mexico, United States, Canada |
February 1990 |
January 1, 1994 |
| G3 (Members of the LAFTA
sclerotic by, the 1980s) |
Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela |
September 1990 |
January 1995 |
| Mexico-Costa Rica |
|
February 1992 |
January 1, 1995 |
| Mexico-Bolivia |
|
September 11, 1994 |
January 1, 1995 |
| Mexico-Chile |
|
October 31, 1990 |
January 1, 1992 |
| Mexico-Nicaragua |
|
August 1992 |
No date |
| ACS (formerly CARICOM) |
Mexico, CARICOM, SICA,
Cuba, Haiti, Venezuela in
discussion Colombia, Dominican
Republic, Suriname |
1994; |
July 1995 |
| Mexico-SICA |
Mexico, Costa Rica |
January 12, 1991 |
End of 1996; |
| (formerly Central |
Nicaragua, El Salvador |
|
|
| American Common |
Guatemala, Honduras |
|
|
| Market) |
|
|
|
| Mexico-Belize |
|
September 1994 |
1995; in discussion |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mexico-Guatemala |
Key to an effective |
November 1994 |
1995; in discussion |
| Mexico-SICA |
|
|
|
| Mexico-El Salvador |
|
November 1994 |
No date |
|
|
|
|
| Mexico-Honduras |
|
November 1994 |
No date |
| Mexico-Panama |
|
November 1994 |
No date |
| NAFTA-Chile |
|
December 1994 |
1996; in discussion |
| FTTA |
34 Western Hemisphere
countries, excluding Cuba |
December 1994 |
2005; in discussion |
| Mexico-European Union |
qwqw |
February 1995 |
|
1. Founded in 1960 as the Latin American Free Trade Area (LAFTA), which includes Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay, and Venezuela. In 1980 the Association was "rejuvenated" as the Latin American Integration Association (LAIA). Between 1960 and 1990, however, intraregional LAFTA/LAIA export trade increased from 7.9 percent in 1960 to 13.7 percent in 1980 before declining to 10.6 in 1990 (see table A4, below.)
2.. El Financiero Internacional, September 1925, 1994.
3. The Association of Caribbean States (ACS) has 25 members compared to 12 original members of the Caribbean Community and Common Market (CARICOM). CARICOM may survive as the expanded political arm of ACS and/or take over the ACS economic role.
4.. System for Central American Integration.
5. The original Central American Common Market (CACM) "flourished" from its establishment in 1961 (Honduras joined in 1962, Costa Rica in 1963) through 1968, intraregional exports increasing from 7.0 percent in 1960 to 25.7 percent in 1970. In 1969, the "Soccer War" between El Salvador and Honduras disrupted the regions trade, and Honduras's explicit withdrawal from the CACM in 1971 came two years after it implicitly did so in 1969. "Low intensity" warfare beginning in Guatemala in the 1960s and in Nicaragua and El Salvador in the late 1970s spelled the end of the CACM, intraregional export trade declining to 14.8 percent by 1990 (see table A4, below.) Panama, which has never had more than CACM observer status, has refused to join CACM/SICA because of its servicebased economy which contrast with the agriculture-based economies of the other Central American countries. See "Panama's Balladares Strikes Discordant Note at Central American Summit," Latin American Regional Reports: Caribbean and Central American Report, October 6, 1994 (RC9408).
6. Therèse Margolis, "Belize Seeks Closer Ties with Mexico," Mexico City News, September 27, 1994
7. President-Elect Ernesto Zedillo Ponce de León developed bilateral FTA talks in his November 1994 travels to Belize, Central America, and Panama.
8. See "NAFTA Invitation to Chile Caps Summit in Miami," Latin American Regional Reports: Southern Cone, December 29, 1994 (RS9410).
9.Free Trade Agreement of the Americas. On the schedule for FTAA negotiations, see Michael Kleinberg, "After Americas Summit [December 911, 1995], The Real Work Begins," Mexico City News, December 18, 1994.
10. "Aprueba la Comisión Europea un proyecto de libre comercio con México," Excélsior, February 9, 1995.
SOURCE: Interviews with policymakers, text notes, and sources and notes given in Table A2. About the number of Mexico's free trade partnership countries (seven in five agreements), as of December 31, 1994, see statements by Mexican Secretary of Commerce Herminio Blanco Mendoza, quoted by Patricia Cerda, "Aumentó 25 y 30% el comercio con EU y Canadá a partir del TLC," Excélsior, January 1, 1995.
| Table A2 |
| Non-Mexican Free Trade Aeas In the Americas |
| (January 1995) |
| Part I. FTAs with Which Mexico Does Not Have or Yet Have Agreements |
| Name |
Members |
Date Proposed |
Date Effective |
| MERCOSUR |
Argentina, Brazil,
Uruguay, Paraguay |
March 1991 |
January 1, 1995, as an imperfect |
| MERCOSUR |
Chile-Bolivia |
December 1994 |
1995 in discussion |
| Renewed Andean Pact |
Bolivia, Colombia
Ecuador Venezuela, Peru |
January 1993 |
December 1995 |
| Re-rejuvenated LAIA See
Table A1,
note 1, above
| |
|
1994; in discussion |
|
|
|
|
| SAFTA (South American
Free Trade Area) |
Brazil's plan to |
1994; in discussion; |
|
| counter NAFTA |
to linkMERCOSUR with
Bolivia and Chile by June
1995; and with Peru,
Ecuador, Colombia, and
Venezuela by December
1995 |
|
|
| Northern South |
Colombia, |
* |
1994; in discussion |
| America- |
Venezuela, |
* |
* |
| Central American |
El Salvador, |
* |
* |
| Triangle |
Honduras, Guatemala |
* |
* |
| Central American |
Guatemala, |
May 1992 |
January 1, 1993 |
| Triangle |
El Salvador, Honduras |
* |
* |
| European Union- |
EU plan for |
September 1994 |
* |
| MERCOSUR |
|
preferential trade |
* |
| Part II. Non-Mexican FTAs |
| Name |
Members |
Date Proposed |
Date
Effective |
|
| Chile-bilateral pacts with |
Argentina, Bolivia,
Colombia,Venezuela |
* |
Since 1990 |
| Chile-Andean pact |
* |
December 1994 |
No date |
| Chile-European Union |
|
September 1994 |
No date |
| Andean Pact-European
Union |
|
September 1994 |
No date |
| Colombia-Bilateral Pacts |
22 countries worldwide |
1991-1994 |
|
| Costa Rica-Venezuela |
* |
April 1991 |
No date |
| Honduras-Guatemala |
* |
April 1991 |
No date |
| Table 3 |
| Major World Trade Blocs and Sample Countries, About 1993 |
|
| Part I: Blocs |
| Numbers of |
Population |
GDP |
GDP/C |
| Trade Bloc |
Members |
(M) |
(B US) |
(US) |
| NAFTA |
3 |
363.3 |
6,404.2 |
17,622 |
| SICA |
6 |
29.5 |
36.0 |
1,222 |
| ACS |
25 |
198.7 |
474.0 |
2,386 |
| G3 |
3 |
137.8 |
377.7 |
2,740 |
| Andean Pact |
5 |
93.8 |
160.1 |
1,707 |
| MERCOSUR |
4 |
191.6 |
544.1 |
2,840 |
| Eur. Union |
12 |
345.0 |
6,144.0 |
17,809 |
| APEC |
13 |
1,961.0 |
11,135.1 |
5,678 |
| Part II: Sample Countries |
| NAFTA |
| Mexico |
83.3 |
282.5 |
3,391 |
| USA |
252.7 |
5,610.8 |
22,203 |
| Canada |
27.3 |
510.8 |
18,711 |
| SICA |
| Costa Rica |
3.1 |
5.6 |
1,796 |
| ACS |
| Cuba |
10.7 |
26.9 |
2,500 |
| G3 |
| Colombia |
41.7 |
1,241 |
| Andean Pact |
| Venezuela |
20.2 |
53.4 |
2,644 |
| MERCOSUR |
| Brazil |
151.4 |
414.1 |
2,735 |
| Chile (nonmember) |
13.4 |
31.3 |
2,336 |
| European Union |
| Germany |
79.6 |
1,692.0 |
21,256 |
| APEC |
| Japan |
124.0 |
3,337.0 |
26,911 |
SOURCE: Adapted and calculated here from data in,
For the Americas: Clint E. Smith, ed., Viable Paths of Accession to a Greater North American Common Market, Conference On North America and the Caribbean, Stanford University, January 14-16, 1994 (North American Forum Working Paper 94-1), Appendix C.
For EU and APEC: Hubert Suárez, "Libre Comercio, el Orden Mundial del Siglo XXI, Época 129 (November 22, 1993), pp. 50-51.
| Table A4 |
|
| Exports Shares of Selected Free Trade Areas, 1960-90 |
| (% of Regionís Total Exports) |
|
| Part I. Intraregional |
| Area |
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1990 |
| Andean Pact |
.7 |
20.7 |
15.9 |
18.6 |
| CACM |
7.0 |
25.7 |
23.3 |
14.8 |
| CEAO |
|
6.3 |
9.4 |
11.3 |
| European Community |
34.5 |
51.1 |
53.5 |
60.4 |
| LAFTA/LAIA |
7.9 |
9.9 |
13.7 |
10.6 |
| UDEAC |
1.5 |
5.0 |
1.7 |
4.6 |
| Part II. World |
| Andean Pact |
2.9 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
.9 |
| CACM1 |
.4 |
.4 |
.3 |
.1 |
| CEAO2 |
- |
.3 |
.2 |
.2 |
| European Community |
24.9 |
39.0 |
34.9 |
41.4 |
| LAFTA/LAIA |
6.0 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
| UDEAC3 |
.3 |
.2 |
.2 |
.1 |
| Table A5 |
|
| Mexico Foreign Trade, 1992 |
|
| (M US) |
|
Mexico |
|
| Area |
Exports |
Imports |
| World |
42,700 |
58,545 |
| European Community |
3,498 |
8,213 |
| Japan |
1,130 |
3,805 |
| United States |
32,624 |
40,598 |
| Canada |
2,207 |
613 |
| Cuba |
103 |
105 |
| SICA |
379 |
141 |
| Costa Rica |
87 |
41 |
| El Salvador |
118 |
9 |
| Guatemala |
122 |
68 |
| Honduras |
40 |
1 |
| Nicaragua |
12 |
22 |
| Other Western Hemisphere (including other countries not
listed below) |
1,592 |
1,976 |
| Argentina |
181 |
259 |
| Bolivia |
7 |
7 |
| Brazil |
288 |
1,111 |
| Chile |
199 |
92 |
| Colombia |
151 |
61 |
| Dominican Republic |
106 |
2 |
| Ecuador |
43 |
21 |
| Haiti |
2 |
1 |
| Panama |
38 |
6 |
| Paraguay |
- |
- |
| Peru |
88 |
95 |
| Uruguay |
34 |
42 |
| Other World |
1167 |
3,094 |
1. 1. Calculated by DOT (Direction of Trade).
2. 2. DOT data, based on figures as reported by copartners about each other, often differ markedly from figures reported to IMF-IFS by each country about its own trade. For example, the IMF-IFS series gives Mexico exports to the world as US$27,878 million, imports as US$45,982 million. (The IMF-IFS figures are presented only as yearly totals in source below in which DOT data are given in detail.)
3. 3. Canadian trade with Mexico is understated because it becomes ìlostî as it travels through the United States. The lost amount is estimated at 15 to 30 percent of each countryís trade.
SOURCE: Calculated from IMF- DOT-Y, 1993. pp. 280-281.
| Table A6 |
|
| Mexico Foreign Trade Shares, 1992 |
|
| (%) |
| Mexico | |
| Area | Exports | Imports |
| World | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| European Community | 8.2 | 14.0 |
| Japan | 2.6 | 6.5 |
| United States | 76.4 | 63.4 |
| Canada | 5.2 | 1.0 |
| Cuba | .2 | .2 |
| SICA | .9 | .2 |
| Other Western Hemisphere | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Other World | 2.8 | 11.3 |
SOURCE: Calculated from Table A5.
| Table A7 |
|
| United States Foreign Trade, 1992 |
|
| (M US, FOB) |
| USA | |
| Area | Exports | Imports |
| World | 447,400 | 552,616 |
| European Community | 102,851 | 97,110 |
| Japan | 47,764 | 99,481 |
| Canada | 90,156 | 101,292 |
| Mexico3 | 40,598 | 35,886 |
| Cuba | 0 | 0 |
| SICA | 4,293 | 4,056 |
| Costa Rica | 1,348 | 1,542 |
| El Salvador | 741 | 409 |
| Guatemala | 1,208 | 1,182 |
| Honduras | 808 | 851 |
| Nicaragua | 188 | 72 |
| Other Western Hemisphere (including
countries not listed below) | 30,848 | 31,916 |
| Argentina | 3,222 | 1,370 |
| Bolivia | 222 | 166 |
| Brazil | 5,740 | 8,145 |
| Chile | 2,455 | 1,627 |
| Colombia | 3,282 | 3,064 |
| Dominican Republic | 2,098 | 2,452 |
| Ecuador | 999 | 1,482 |
| Haiti | 217 | 111 |
| Panama | 1,100 | 273 |
| Paraguay | 415 | 38 |
| Peru | 1,002 | 781 |
| Uruguay | 231 | 281 |
| Venezuela | 5,438 | 8,636 |
| Other World | 130,890 | 218,847 |
1. Calculated by DOT.
2. DOT data, based on figures as reported by copartners about trade with each other, often differ markedly from figures reported to IMF-IFS by each country about its own trade. For example, the IMF-IFS series (also shown in source below but only for total and not detail) gives U.S. exports to the world as US$ 448,164 million, imports as US$ 553,923 million.
3. Includes some Mexican-Canadian trade of which track is lost as it passes through the United States. See notes in tables A5 and A9.
SOURCE: Calculated from IMF-DOT-Y, 1993. pp. 403-405.
| Table A8 |
|
| United States Foreign Trade Shares, 1992 |
|
|
United States . |
|
| Area |
Exports |
Imports |
| World |
100.0 |
100.0 |
| European Community |
23.0 |
17.6 |
| Japan |
10.7 |
18.0 |
| Canada |
20.2 |
18.3 |
| Mexico |
9.1 |
6.4 |
| Cuba |
.0 |
.0 |
| SICA |
1.0 |
.7 |
| Other Western Hemisphere |
6.9 |
5.8 |
| Other World |
29.1 |
33.2 |
SOURCE: Calculated from Table A7.
| Table A9 |
|
| Canada Foreign Trade, 1992 |
|
| (M US FOB) |
|
Canada | |
| Area |
Exports | Imports |
| World | 133,447 |
126,830 |
| European Community | 9,315 |
11,897 |
| Japan | 6,073 |
8,914 |
| United States | 103,860 |
79,294 |
| Mexico | 613 |
2,207 |
| Cuba | 94 |
212 |
| SICA | 66 |
307 |
| Costa Rica | 20 |
109 |
| El Salvador | 10 |
10 |
| Guatemala | 19 |
34 |
| Honduras | 9 |
18 |
| Nicaragua | 8 |
27 |
| Other Western Hemisphere (including
other countries not listed below) | 1,822 |
1,630 |
| Argentina | 80 |
93 |
| Bolivia | 11 |
4 |
| Brazil | 506 |
590 |
| Chile | 128 |
150 |
| Colombia | 195 |
108 |
| Dominican Republic | 50 |
27 |
| Ecuador | 56 |
89 |
| Haiti | 6 |
1 |
| Panama | 16 |
5 |
| Paraguay | 4 |
1 |
| Peru | 74 |
79 |
| Uruguay | 10 |
17 |
| Venezuela | 386 |
309 |
| Other World | 11,6O4 |
22,369 |
1. Calculated by DOT.
2. DOT data, based on figures as reported by copartners about each other, often differ markedly from figures reported by each country about itself and published in IMF-IFS series. For example, the IMF-IFS series (also given in source below but only for totals and not detail) gives Canada exports to the world as US$134,056 million, imports as US$ 26,003 million.
3. Canadian trade with Mexico is understated because it becomes ìlostî as it travels through the United States. The lost amount is estimated at 15 to 30 percent of each countryís trade.
SOURCE: Calculated from IMF-DOT-Y, 1993, pp. 123-125.
| Table A10 |
|
| Canada Foreign Trade Shares, 1992 |
|
| (%) |
|
Canada |
|
| Area |
Exports |
Imports |
| World |
100.0 |
100.0 |
| European Community |
6.9 |
9.3 |
| Japan |
4.4 |
7.0 |
| United States |
74.4 |
62.5 |
| Mexico |
.4 |
1.7 |
| Cuba |
.1 |
.2 |
| SICA |
.1 |
.2 |
| Other Western Hemisphere |
1.3 |
1.3 |
| Other World |
12.4 |
17.8 |
SOURCE: Calculated from Table A9.
| Table A11 |
| European Union Foreign Trade, 1992 |
| (M US) |
|
European Union |
|
| Area |
Exports |
Imports |
| World |
1,470,400 |
1,465,200 |
| Japan |
62,901 |
31,399 |
| United States |
102,851 |
97,110 |
| Canada |
9,315 |
12,194 |
| Mexico |
3,340 |
7,649 |
| Cuba |
304 |
641 |
| SICA |
873 |
992 |
| Costa Rica |
459 |
340 |
| El Salvador |
87 |
171 |
| Guatemala |
202 |
335 |
| Honduras |
155 |
47 |
| Nicaragua |
110 |
99 |
| Other Western Hemisphere(including other countries
not listed below) |
26,068 |
25,192 |
| Argentina |
3,799 |
3,912 |
| Bolivia |
284 |
166 |
| Brazil |
10,730 |
5,202 |
| Chile |
2,856 |
2,257 |
| Colombia |
1,878 |
1,614 |
| Dominican Rep. |
142 |
350 |
| Ecuador |
575 |
591 |
| Haiti |
27 |
71 |
| Panama |
185 |
132 |
| Paraguay |
203 |
204 |
| Peru |
964 |
626 |
| Uruguay |
418 |
317 |
| Venezuela |
1,642 |
3,024 |
| Other World |
1,264,748 |
1,301,423 |
1. Calculated by DOT.
2. DOT data, based on figures as reported by copartners about trade with each other, often differ markedly from figures reported to IMF-IFS by each country about its own trade. (See table 5, note 2.)
SOURCE: Calculated from IMF-DOT-Y, 1993. pp. 57, 59, 61.
| Table A12 |
| European Union Foreign Trade Shares, 1992 |
|
European Union |
|
| Area |
Exports |
Imports |
| World |
100.0 |
100.0 |
| Mexico |
.2 |
.5 |
| Japan |
4.3 |
2.1 |
| United States |
7.0 |
6.6 |
| Canada |
.6.8 |
|
| Cuba |
.0.0 |
|
| SICA |
.1 |
.0 |
| Other Western Hemisphere |
1.7 |
1.8 |
| Other World |
86.1 |
88.2 |
SOURCE: Calculated from Table A11.
| Table A13 |
| MERCOSUR Exports, 1992 |
| Area |
M US |
Percent |
| World |
50,786 |
100.0a |
| Canada, United States, Mexico |
10,516 |
20.7 |
| Western Europe |
16,120 |
31.8 |
| Japan |
2,814 |
5.5 |
| Andean Group |
2,201 |
4.3 |
| SICA |
254 |
.5 |
| CARICOM |
104 |
.2 |
| MERCOSUR |
7,007 |
13.8 |
| Argentina |
3,365 |
6.6 |
| Brazil |
2,050 |
4.0 |
| Paraguay |
762 |
1.5 |
| Uruguay |
840 |
1.7 |
| Other Latin America |
4,681 |
9.2 |
a. Detail excludes 13.1 percent ìOther Worldî not listed.
SOURCE: Adapted from Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Jeffrey J. Schott,
Western Hemisphere Economic Integration (Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics, 1994), pp. 36-37.
| Table A14 |
| World Exports, 1992 |
| Area |
B US |
Percent |
| World |
3,687 |
100.0a |
| Western Hemisphere |
731 |
19.8 |
| Canada, United States, Mexico |
624 |
16.9 |
| Latin America (excluding Mexico) |
107 |
2.9 |
| Western Europe (EU, EFTA, Turkey) |
1,699 |
46.1 |
| Asia-Pacific |
965 |
26.1 |
| Developing Asia |
573 |
15.5 |
| Japan, Australia, New Zeland |
392 |
10.6 |
| Africa |
90 |
2.4 |
| Middle East |
144 |
3.9 |
1. Afghanistan, American Samoa, Bangladesh, Buthan, Brunei, Cambodia, China, Fiji, French Polynesia, Guam, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Kiribati, Korea, Lao, Macao, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nauru, Nepal, New Caladonia, Pakistan, Papau New Guinea, Philippines, Singapore, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Vietnam, Western Samoa, and Asia not specified (including Taiwan).
a. Detail excludes 1.7 percent ìOther Worldî not listed.
SOURCE: Adapted from Hufbauer and Schott, Western Hemisphere
Economic Integration, p. 29.
| Table A15 |
| U.S. Exports to Emerging Economies |
| (US of 1994) |
|
Exports |
|
| Market |
1994a |
2010b |
| East Asiac |
94 |
248 |
| Latin Americad |
88 |
232 |
| Canada |
109 |
147 |
| European Union |
95 |
128 |
| Japan |
52 |
88 |
| Rest of world |
53 |
72 |
a. Annualized.
b. Projections.
c. Excludes Japan.
d. Includes Mexico.
SOURCE: New York Times, November 4, 1994, p. C2, based on data from the Office of the United States Trade Representative.
| Table A16 |
| Summary of Western Hemisphere Trade Blocs |
| Agreement and Population (M) | Member Countries |
GDP (B US) |
| NAFTA (380.3)a | United States |
5,905.0 |
| Canada |
566.0 |
| Mexico |
295.0 |
| Total |
6,766.0 |
| G3 (Group of Three)b(148.3) | Mexico |
295.0 |
| Venezuela |
59.0 |
| Colombia |
45.0 |
| Total |
399.0 |
| CARICOM (6.5)c | Trinidad & Tobago |
5.0 |
| Jamaica |
3.2 |
| Suriname |
1.7 |
| Others |
3.3 |
| Total |
13.2 |
| Andean Pact (98.2)d | Venezuela |
59.0 |
| Colombia |
45.0 |
| Peru |
21.3 |
| Ecuador |
11.8 |
| Bolivia |
11.8 |
| Total |
142.2 |
| MERCOSUR (211)e | Brazil |
425.4 |
| Argentina |
200.3 |
| Uruguay |
10.4 |
| Paraguay |
6.0 |
| Total |
642.1 |
| CACM (29.2)f | Guatemala |
9.5 |
| Costa Rica |
6.3 |
| El Salvador |
6.3 |
| Honduras |
3.1 |
| Nicaragua |
1.3 |
| Total |
26.5 |
a. Effective 1994. Aims to eliminate trade barriers.
b. Effective 1995. Aims to phase out trade barriers in a decade.
c. Effective 1975. Aims to remove external tariffs on imports.
d. Starting in 1995, this duty-free zone will become a customs union, with uniform tariffs for imports.
e. Effective 1995. Aims to establish duty-free trade for 90 percent of goods and to phase out tariffs for the remaining 10 percent over the next decade.
f. Effective 1960. Aims to eliminate regional tariffs and to establish a common external tariff.
SOURCE: New York Times, December 9, 1994. Calculated from data from U.S. Department of Commerce, United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, Central Intelligence Agency, and World Bank.
|